December PMI down by 1.6 points

| 0 Comments

 

DecreasingGraph.jpgThe seasonally adjusted Barclays Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) declined to 46.7 index points in December 2016 from 48.3 in November.

This means that the manufacturing PMI remained stuck below the neutral 50-point for a fifth straight month.

This is in stark contrast to the sustained upward momentum seen in global PMI figures since mid-2016. In the US and the Eurozone, manufacturing PMI readings came in above 54 index points in December. The most recent Chinese PMIs are also pointing to accelerating output growth.

In all likelihood, the key reason why the South African manufacturing sector is underperforming is the persisting weakness of domestic demand.Key supply constraints (most notably load-shedding and strike activity) actually moderated through 2016.

A recovery in agricultural output and an uptick in the mining sector on the back of higher commodity prices could support demand going forward. However, this could be offset by the outlook for the local consumer which is more downbeat.

On a positive note, the uptick in global industrial activity could benefit local manufacturers targeting the export market in coming months. Four of the five major subcomponents of the PMI remained below 50 points in December.

Most notably, the index measuring suppliers’ performance slumped to a historic low of 40.9 from 48 index points in November.This reflected the broad-based weakness of the domestic economy as it implies that suppliers are operating way below capacity.

The business activity index fell by 2.6 points to 46.3 in December – the sixth straight month that the index reflects a decline in output.

Encouragingly, the new sales orders index managed to stay just above 50 in December (50.9), likely lifted by continued export orders.

The inventories index declined for a third month, keeping it well below the new sales orders index. This meant that the PMI leading indicator remained above one, suggesting that output growth could pick up as demand outstrips inventories.

Manufacturers were also relatively optimistic about expected business conditions in six months’ time, albeit that the index fell slightly from 53.9 to 53.2 in December.The purchasing price index remained unchanged at 65.6 index points in December. While the rand exchange rate was slightly stronger compared to November, this was countered by a sharp rise in the Brent crude oil price.

Leave a comment


SmartProcurement Newsletter
X

Please enter your details below to receive the SmartProcurement Newsletter for FREE on a regular basis.

As part of the SmartProcurement Newsletter you will be receiving World Class Procurement News, Tools, Tips, Tactics, Procurement Training updates, Upcoming Events, and the latest Procurement Career Openings.

* Email Address:
* Title:
* First Name:
* Surname:
* Company:
  Position:
* Country:
* Public / Private:

 

Career opportunites

Demand Planning Manager

  • <500 000 Gauteng Operations, Planning & Inventory Projects / Category Management
(Total Cost to Company R750k - R900K) excluding ...More

Global Category Manager: CONTRACTS

  • <500 000 Buyer Commodities Contract Gauteng
Total Cost to Company R1mil - R1.2mil excluding

Project Manager :12-18 MONTH CONTRACT

  • <500 000 Contract Procurement Officer / Specialist Projects / Category Management
Description:A well-known retail organization is looking for an ...More

Procurement Analyst

  • <500 000 Analyst Gauteng Permanent Procurement Management
Description:A leading infrastructure development group with strong presence ...More

Commodity Manager: Fuels and Lubes

  • <500 000 Commodities Gauteng Permanent Strategic Sourcing
Description:Ensuring continuity of supply in line with business ...More

Senior Facilities Manager

  • <500 000 Gauteng Operations, Planning & Inventory Permanent Projects / Category Management
(Total Cost to Company R800K - R900K) Description: ...More

Supply Chain Analyst

  • <500 000 Analyst Permanent Supply Chain Western Cape
(Total Cost to Company R350K - R550K) SOUTHERN ...More

Demand Planner

  • <500 000 Gauteng Operations, Planning & Inventory Permanent Supply Chain
(Total Cost to Company R450k - R550k, dependent ...More

Procurement Specialis

  • <500 000 Gauteng Permanent Procurement Management Procurement Officer / Specialist
(Total Cost to Company R700k - R800k including ...More

Solutions Architect

  • <500 000 Analyst Gauteng Operations, Planning & Inventory Permanent
(Total Cost to Company R1.3Mil - R1.1Mil including ...More

Engineering Manager

  • Gauteng Industrial Engineer Permanent Procurement Management
Total Cost to Company R850k - R950K including ...More

Country Head of Procurement

  • Permanent Procurement Management Procurement Officer / Specialist
https://careers.peopleclick.com/careerscp/client_gsk/external1931/gateway.dofunctionName=viewFromLink&jobPostId=359235&localeCode=en-us CBS Procurement,Hub Head of Procurement To lead, ...More

Demand Planner

  • <500 000 Gauteng Operations, Planning & Inventory Permanent Projects / Category Management
https://www.tech-pro.co.za/pages/jobdetail.aspx#!Gauteng/Planning/Demand%20Planner/TP2005490/MSe Category: PlanningPosition Title: Demand PlannerSalary: R600 000 ...More

Head of Procurement

  • <500 000 Gauteng Permanent Procurement Management Procurement Officer / Specialist
https://www.tech-pro.co.za/pages/jobdetail.aspx#!Gauteng/Procurement/Head%20of%20Procurement/TP2005488/ZBuCategory: ProcurementPosition Title: Head of ProcurementSalary: R1.3 million ...More

Warehouse and Distribution Manager

  • <500 000 Gauteng Logistics & Warehousing Permanent Supply Chain
https://www.tech-pro.co.za/pages/jobdetail.aspx#!Gauteng/Logistics/Warehouse%20Distribution%20Manager/TP2005455/TMa Category: Supply ChainPosition Title: Warehouse and Distribution ...More

Supply Chain Manager

  • <500 000 Mpumalanga Permanent Procurement Officer / Specialist Supply Chain
https://www.tech-pro.co.za/pages/jobdetail.aspx#!Mpumalanga/Supply%20Chain/Supply%20Chain%20Manager/TP2005448/LMa Category: Supply ChainPosition Title: Supply Chain Manager ...More

Industrial Engineer

  • <500 000 Gauteng Industrial Engineer Operations, Planning & Inventory Permanent
https://www.tech-pro.co.za/pages/jobdetail.aspx#!Gauteng/Consulting/Continuous%20Improvement%20Manager/TP2005489/SNh Category: ConsultingPosition Title: Industrial EngineerSalary: R900 000 ...More

Operations Manager

  • >500 000 Gauteng Operations, Planning & Inventory Permanent Supply Chain
Our client within the FMCG industry with a ...More

Warehouse and Distribution Manager

  • >500 000 Gauteng Logistics & Warehousing Operations, Planning & Inventory Permanent
An exciting opportunity awaits for a Warehouse and ...More

Demand Planner

  • <500 000 Permanent
Get an opportunity to be part of one ...More