PMI down 1.2 points, but began Q3 strong

| 0 Comments

pmi.jpgThe seasonally adjusted Barclays Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) fell by 1.2 index points to 52.5 in July. Despite the slight drop, the current level still signals that the sector experienced a reasonably strong start to Q3 2016 after a robust performance during Q2, reports the Bureau for Economic Research.

The PMI remains in line with recent Eurozone manufacturing PMI readings (a key export market for South-African produced goods). Initial data releases suggest that the Eurozone economy has so far remained relatively resilient after the UK’s brexit vote, which is encouraging for the local sector’s export performance going forward.

The decline in the headline PMI was mainly driven by a 4.8 point drop in the business activity index to 49.5. This is five points below the 54.5 point average recorded in Q2 2016.

The PMI leading indicator rose back above one in July, suggesting that output growth may pick up again going forward. In fact, the new sales orders index signals that the recent improvement in demand was sustained in July with a slight increase to 54.4 index points. Demand seems to be supported by improved export performance, with some respondents still noting significant weakness in the domestic economy.

On a positive note, the price index fell by 9.3 index points to reach 72.1 points – the lowest level since April 2015. The decline was likely driven by a stronger rand and the lower international oil price. The combination of these factors led to a significant decline in the fuel price on 3 August, providing input cost relief for manufacturers (and consumers).

With (export) demand holding up and upward pressure on costs lessening somewhat in July, purchasing managers were also more optimistic about business conditions going forward. The index measuring expected business conditions in six months’ time rose to 55.4 in July, up from 52.9 in June. This means that, barring any unexpected disruptions to output, the sector could continue its recovery during the second half of 2016.

Leave a comment


SmartProcurement Newsletter
X

Please enter your details below to receive the SmartProcurement Newsletter for FREE on a regular basis.

As part of the SmartProcurement Newsletter you will be receiving World Class Procurement News, Tools, Tips, Tactics, Procurement Training updates, Upcoming Events, and the latest Procurement Career Openings.

* Email Address:
* Title:
* First Name:
* Surname:
* Company:
  Position:
* Country:
* Public / Private:

 

Career opportunites

Operations Manager

  • >500 000 Gauteng Operations, Planning & Inventory Permanent Supply Chain
Our client within the FMCG industry with a ...More

Warehouse and Distribution Manager

  • >500 000 Gauteng Logistics & Warehousing Operations, Planning & Inventory Permanent
An exciting opportunity awaits for a Warehouse and ...More

Demand Planner

  • <500 000 Permanent
Get an opportunity to be part of one ...More

Procurement Manager

  • >500 000 Gauteng Permanent Procurement Management Procurement Officer / Specialist
An opportunity for a seasoned Procurement Manager, who ...More

Industrial Engineer

  • >500 000 Gauteng Industrial Engineer Permanent Procurement Consultant
An exciting opportunity that offers extensive exposure on ...More

Deputy Director: Procurement

  • >500 000 Contract Procurement Management Procurement Officer / Specialist Western Cape
Department of Economic Development and Tourism:Procurement Specialist, Ref ...More

DEMAND PLANNING MANAGER

  • >500 000 Gauteng Operations, Planning & Inventory Projects / Category Management
(Total Cost to Company R750k – R900K) excluding ...More

GLOBAL SUPPLIER PERFORMANCE MANAGER

  • >500 000 Gauteng Operations, Planning & Inventory Permanent Projects / Category Management
(Salary: R 1.3M –R1.5M, dependent on level of ...More

GLOBAL CATEGORY MANAGER

  • >500 000 Contract Gauteng Procurement Consultant Projects / Category Management
Total Cost to Company R1mil – R1.2mil excluding ...More

Project Manager

  • >500 000 Contract Procurement Management Projects / Category Management Western Cape
 Description:A well-known retail organization is looking for an ...More

PROCUREMENT ANALYST

  • >500 000 Analyst Gauteng Permanent Procurement Management
Description:A leading infrastructure development group with strong presence ...More

Commodity Manager: Fuels and Lubes

  • Commodities Gauteng Permanent Projects / Category Management
 Ensuring continuity of supply in line with business ...More

Senior Facilities Manager

  • >500 000 Commodities Gauteng Operations, Planning & Inventory Permanent
(Total Cost to Company R800K – R900K) Johannesburg Our ...More

ENGINEERING STANDARDS MANAGER

  • <500 000 >500 000 Gauteng Industrial Engineer Permanent Procurement Management
(Total Cost to Company R350K – R550K) JOHANNESBURGYou ...More

Supply Chain Analyst

  • <500 000 >500 000 Permanent Procurement Officer / Specialist Supply Chain Western Cape
(Total Cost to Company R350K – R550K)  SOUTHERN ...More

Security Manager

  • <500 000 >500 000 Gauteng Permanent Projects / Category Management Strategic Sourcing
(Total Cost to Company R350K – R550K) JOHANNESBURG This ...More

Demand Planner

  • <500 000 >500 000 Operations, Planning & Inventory Permanent Projects / Category Management
(Total Cost to Company R450k – R550k, dependent ...More

Procurement Specialist-Randburg

  • >500 000 Gauteng Permanent Procurement Management Procurement Officer / Specialist
(Total Cost to Company R700k – R800k including ...More

Solutions Architect

  • >500 000 Gauteng Industrial Engineer Permanent Projects / Category Management
(Total Cost to Company R1.3Mil – R1.1Mil including ...More

MANUFACTURING MANAGER - OLIFANTSFONTEIN

  • >500 000 Gauteng Permanent Projects / Category Management
(Total Cost to Company R850k – R950K including ...More